Week 13 QB Rankings, Projections and Analysis
Week 13 Quarterback Sleepers
Week 13 Start N' Sit
Week 13 Waiver Wire Tips





QBs title bar graphic
Colts QB Andrew Luck
By Greg Buchphoto of journalist Greg Buch
Greg develops and updates FFSwami's website. He's played in various fantasy football leagues the last 15 years and is a life-long Cincinnati Bengals fan.
This is how we rank the top 25 QBs in action this week. Our rankings aren't just based on name value or past performance - each week we take a comprehensive look at the match-ups and each QBs past performance and factor that into our projections. The ratings are based on a standard league where 25 passing yards equal 1 point, passing and rushing TDs equal 6 pts. and INTs or fumbles deduct 2 points.



QB Rankings
  1. Andrew Luck
  2. Aaron Rodgers
  3. Ben Roethlisberger
  4. Matt Stafford
  5. Tony Romo
  6. Peyton Manning
  7. Tom Brady
  8. Mark Sanchez
  9. Ryan Tannehill
  10. Eli Manning
  11. Alex Smith
  12. Philip Rivers
  13. Andy Dalton
  14. Drew Brees
  15. Colin Kaepernick
  16. Russell Wilson
  17. Jay Cutler
  18. Joe Flacco
  19. Derek Carr
  20. Matt Ryan
  21. Zach Mettenberger
  22. Josh McCown
  23. Shaun Hill
  24. Drew Stanton
  25. Cam Newton
Lions QB Matt Stafford
By Greg Buchphoto of journalist Greg Buch
Greg develops and updates FFSwami's website. He's played in various fantasy football leagues the last 15 years and is a life-long Cincinnati Bengals fan.
Paying attention to the match-ups each week can help you identify less heralded players with the upside to surprise and help you avoid some potential land mines. This is our list of players we expect to surpass expectations, along with a few stud QBs who may fail to deliver:



Start
Matt Stafford
Lions QB Matt Stafford
Stafford's really struggled the last two weeks. Against a very tough Cardinals defense in Week 11, he threw for just 183 yards and a pick and he was once again abysmal this week in New England with 264 yards, no TDs, and a pick. Part of the problem is Megatron hasn't been himself since coming back from injury but you can chalk the rest up to the defenses he faced. I think the Bears should be the cure for what ails him. Chicago's giving up almost 20 points a game to opposing quarterbacks and they're likely to be without the services of starting rookie sensation Kyle Fuller, which should create some favorable match-ups for Golden Tate to exploit. Another half week of healing should also help Calvin Johnson's ankle, which would help Stafford's cause greatly.

Tony Romo
Cowboys QB Tony Romo
Because the Cowboys running game has been so effective, Romo hasn't been asked to throw the ball as much as in years past. This week however may be a different story as they host an Eagles team that can be expected to put a lot of points on the board. Philadelphia's defense has been extremely generous to fantasy quarterbacks, allowing over 20 fantasy points a game, so this is a great match-up to plug the Cowboys signal-caller in. Look for Dallas to air it out to keep apace with Chip Kelly's high-flying offense and for Romo to end up with around 300 passing yards to go with a pair of scores.


Sit
Cam Newton
Panthers QB Cam Newton
Since a shootout with the Bengals in Week 6, Newton's failed to score 15 or more fantasy points in 4 out of 5 games. Now he gets to travel to the great white North in late-November to take on a Vikings defense that ranks 7th in the league against the pass and has held opposing quarterbacks to barely over 15 points a game. This game will be played outdoors at Univ. of Minnesota stadium and the forecast is calling for frigid sub-20 degree temperatures. With the fantasy playoffs looming this is not the week to rely on a struggling quarterback from a warm-weather team playing in sub-freezing temperatures. I know he's a big name and you probably spent a high-round pick on him but I'd sit Newton in favor of a QB off your waiver wire with better prospects this week.

Colin Kaepernick/ Russell Wilson
49ers QB Colin Kaepernick
The 49ers and Seahawks square off this weekend in a huge NFC North battle and I'm expecting this to be a low-scoring defensive battle so I don't like the prospects for either quarterback. These two defenses allow the least amount of fantasy points in the league to opposing quarterbacks, so if you start either one the odds are stacked against you. Since he's playing at home, I'd give a slight edge to Kaepernick but there are better options out there on your waiver wire.


Andy Dalton
Bengals QB Andy Dalton
Andy Dalton's been up and down this year. After a great game where he threw for 220 yards and 3 TDs, he came back down to Earth again this week, throwing for 233 yards with just 1 TD and a pick-six that made a game out of what looked to be a blowout in Houston. This week I think his arrow goes back up again as he's facing a vulnerable Buccaneers defense that's allowing over 17 points a game to opposing quarterbacks. Dalton has a very good history against NFC teams. Over the last 3 seasons, he's averaged a solid 264 yards a game and thrown for 26 TDs with just 7 INTs when facing NFC opponents. He makes a solid start if your QB's not named Luck or Rodgers.

Alex Smith
Chiefs QB Alex Smith
I don't usually name a quarterback who's main purpose in life is feeding the ball to his star running back as a sleeper but the match-up this week is just too good to pass up. Smith faces a vulnerable Broncos pass defense that's given up the 5th-most fantasy points in the league to opposing quarterbacks. This game is also at Arrowhead, where the Chiefs are always a tough out, so I expect Kansas City to make a game out of it. The Broncos are one of the hardest teams to run on in the league, allowing just 3.4 yards per carry, so if the Chiefs expect to keep this one close, their going to have to air it out some. Look for the caretaker QB to have one of his better games this season and don't be afraid to gamble on him if you're in need of a starter.
Dolphins QB Ryan Tannehill
By Greg Buchphoto of journalist Greg Buch
Greg develops and updates FFSwami's website. He's played in various fantasy football leagues the last 15 years and is a life-long Cincinnati Bengals fan.
As the fantasy season draws to a close, your waiver wire strategy depends on where your team is in the standings. If you've already clinched, you should be making moves with the post-season in mind and not worrying about regular season match-ups. However, if a spot in the playoffs isn't guaranteed, then looking at next week's match-ups is unavoidable. We've got a few hot tips that should help your chances of making the post-season:

Must Adds

Ryan Tannehill
Tannehill's yet to throw for 300 yards this year but has been solid and rock steady. With match-ups on the horizon against the Jets and Ravens, two teams who've struggled to defend the pass, now's the perfect time to add the Dolphins QB. Last week, against the Broncos, he threw for the 2nd-highest fantasy points of any quarterback. This week's opponent, the Jets, have allowed the most fantasy points in the league to quarterbacks, so it's an ideal match-up to start him in. Despite being the 7th-highest scoring fantasy quarterback, Tannehill's still available in 50% of ESPN leagues.

Alex Smith
Smith won't set your league on fire but when the match-up's right, he can be a solid starter. This should be one of those weeks, as the Chiefs host a Denver Broncos team that's allowing opposing quarterbacks to score nearly 19 points a game. If the Chiefs have to take to the air to keep up with the Broncos' high-flying offense, it should mean plenty of opportunities for Smith to rack up yardage and points.

Drops

Robert Griffin III
I advised you to give up on Griffin III last week and drop him and he's done nothing since to convince me he's worth keeping on fantasy rosters. This Sunday against a tough Niners defense, he threw for just 106 yards, was sacked 5 times, and lost a fumble. Don't be surprised to see a quarterback change in Washington next week.

Josh McCown
McCown had a dream match-up against his former employer the Bears and failed to deliver. He threw for 341 yards but 3 costly turnovers took a toll on his fantasy performance. He draws 2 difficult opponents over the next two weeks - the Bengals and Lions boast two of the league's better pass defenses. He's not worth keeping on rosters.